The entity has a beta of 0.34, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Tidal Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tidal Trust is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak
Strong
Over the last 90 days Tidal Trust II has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the ETF investors. ...more
If you would invest 3,038 in Tidal Trust II on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (947.00) from holding Tidal Trust II or give up 31.17% of portfolio value over 90 days. Tidal Trust II is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.3728% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of etfs are less volatile than Tidal, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
Expected Return
Risk
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tidal Trust is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.34 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.
Tidal Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Tidal Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price
Horizon
Target Price
Odds to move above the current price in 90 days
20.91
90 days
20.91
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tidal Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Tidal Trust II probability density function shows the probability of Tidal Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tidal Trust has a beta of 0.34 indicating as returns on the market go up, Tidal Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tidal Trust II will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tidal Trust II has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
Tidal Trust Price Density
Price
Predictive Modules for Tidal Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tidal Trust II. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tidal Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tidal Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tidal Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tidal Trust II, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tidal Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tidal Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tidal Trust II can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tidal Trust II generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evaluating Tidal Trust's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Tidal Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Tidal Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Tidal Trust is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NYSE ARCA exchange.
Tidal Trust II generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
When determining whether Tidal Trust II is a strong investment it is important to analyze Tidal Trust's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Tidal Trust's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Tidal Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Tidal Trust II. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
The market value of Tidal Trust II is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tidal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tidal Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tidal Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tidal Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tidal Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Tidal Trust's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Tidal Trust should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Tidal Trust's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.